France country expert, university lecturer, political consultant
The idea of the Hungarian “central force field” is known to boredom. Viktor Orbán’s Fidesz positions itself in the middle – compared to its two-sided, drastically divided opposition. Thanks to this situation, even from a mathematical minority, Fidesz can win Read More …
Marine Le Pen has not been able to use the legislative campaign to strengthen her position. Although Marion-Maréchal Le Pen announced her (probably temporary) retirement from politics, the national-liberal wing of the National Front could gain momentum. Marine Le Pen Read More …
Brigitte Macron, France’s new First Lady is popular in the eyes of many. Others are attacking her because of her age. However, her husband, the new President of the Republic suggests that the whole country should get used to her Read More …
“Is she really going to get elected?” “What he’s going to do as president?” “Will my business thrive or die?” Have you ever found yourself wondering about political risks in France, about the security of your investments, or simply about Read More …
The editorial staff of Aujourd’hui en France / Le Parisien decided that they would simply stop commissioning opinion polls ahead of the 2017 French presidential election. They say – inter alia – that polls and surveys failed to predict the results of Read More …
Earlier, I suggested in some of my analyses and interviews that the FN was a divided organisation, as internal power struggles are routinely present within the party. In recent days we have seen many evidence of this, since a nasty Read More …
For an analysts like me, it is kind of obligatory to consider the passing year. Whose year was it? What was the year about? I could easily say that 2016 was the year of the Fillon-surprise, but in fact, it Read More …
So far, when people asked me about the French presidential elections, I have always answered that whosoever won the Republican primary on 27 November, was likely to become the next French president. In this sentence, the keyword is “so far”. Read More …
A book based on about 100 hours of interviews with François Hollande was published by two Le Monde journalists, Gérard Davet and Fabrice Lhomme. The title “A President Shouldn’t Say That…” practically tells all. I do not know what Hollande’s Read More …
