Marine Le Pen in trouble, papa Le Pen strikes back

Marine Le Pen has not been able to use the legislative campaign to strengthen her position. Although Marion-Maréchal Le Pen announced her (probably temporary) retirement from politics, the national-liberal wing of the National Front could gain momentum. Marine Le Pen was also forced to deliver a public mea culpa because of her performance in the debate. And Jean-Marie Le Pen Read More …

Meet Brigitte Macron, the new French First Lady

Brigitte Macron, France’s new First Lady is popular in the eyes of many. Others are attacking her because of her age. However, her husband, the new President of the Republic suggests that the whole country should get used to her presence. It seems that the President’s wife will not only carry out informal duties, but she will also receive some Read More …

“Is she really going to get elected?”

“Is she really going to get elected?” “What he’s going to do as president?” “Will my business thrive or die?” Have you ever found yourself wondering about political risks in France, about the security of your investments, or simply about your right to go see the Eiffel Tower? Do you want to have a better understanding of what’s really happening? Read More …

54. If you do not understand it, you better ignore it?

The editorial staff of Aujourd’hui en France / Le Parisien decided that they would simply stop commissioning opinion polls ahead of the 2017 French presidential election. They say  – inter alia – that polls and surveys failed to predict the results of the Brexit referendum and of the US presidential election. I am utterly outraged by this argument, not to mention by Read More …

53. “Women ” prove the FN is a divided party

​Earlier, I suggested in some of my analyses and interviews that the FN was a divided organisation, as internal power struggles are routinely present within the party. In recent days we have seen many evidence of this, since a nasty conflict erupted between Marion Maréchal-Le Pen and her aunt (party leader Marine Le Pen), as well as between Vice President Read More …

52. The year of political death

For an analysts like me, it is kind of obligatory to consider the passing year. Whose year was it? What was the year about? I could easily say that 2016 was the year of the Fillon-surprise, but in fact, it was rather the year of political death. In 2016 – unexpectedly or not – France executed a major part of Read More …

51. Marine Le Pen: one step closer to the presidency

So far, when people asked me about the French presidential elections, I have always answered that whosoever won the Republican primary on 27 November, was likely to become the next French president. In this sentence, the keyword is “so far”. Donald J. Trump’s victory has created a whole new situation, at least mentally. Marine Le Pen’s presidential chances have considerably Read More …

50. Someone please tell me what Hollande is doing…

A book based on about 100 hours of interviews with François Hollande was published by two Le Monde journalists, Gérard Davet and Fabrice Lhomme. The title “A President Shouldn’t Say That…” practically tells all. I do not know what Hollande’s intention with this book was. To improve his image, or to enter the presidential campaign? Instead, he just gave his Read More …

49. French government intervenes to save iconic Alstom industrial plant from closure

Sarkozy’s “affairs” and Hollande’s book are certainly interesting and entertaining for those interested in French politics. The “big issue” of September, though, is the planned closure of Alstom’s TGV industrial plant in Belfort in 2018. The announcement of Alstom has forced almost all political actors to make resolutions. And the government came up with a fairly expensive one.